Hey SAL THE ITAL...
How far back did you go to find that trend?
I used my database and found that teams playing their first playoff game after failing to cover their final two or more regular season contests have gone 27-8-1 ATS from 1984 to 2003, in the wildcard round these teams have gone 15-6 ATS over the same span.
In the wildcard round this year a qualifying team can be found in each game as the Colts, vikes, jets, and seahawks all have failed to cover two or more of their final regular season games.
However, this is just a trend and SHOULD NOT be the sole deciding factor in determining a wager on these teams, in my opinion trends may be used to backup and support your analysis but NEVER should they be the only reason to make a wager on a game.
Just because this trend as I've demostrated as chosen the Colts, vikes, jets, and seahawks, I am quite sure that many other trends and systems can be found to support the opposite side.
The best approach has and will always be to gather ALL available information such as past head to head match up history and team situational analysis to include a review of each teams injury report in order to get a good overview of each teams chances of winning, then and only then can trends or systems be used as extra support in your final decision.
take care and good luck!
Deb
Hey SAL THE ITAL...
I decided to take a closer look at this trend because as I've already mentioned in my previous posting, my database showed that teams that failed to cover their final two or more regular season games posted a mark of 15-6 ATS from 1984 to 2003 in the wildcard round.
However, a closer look at these four qualifying teams ( the Colts, vikes, jets, and seahawks ) reveals that 3 of these 4 teams allowed 50 or more combined points in their final two regular season games.
The teams that allowed 50 or more combined points in their final two regular season games in this round are the colts, the vikes, and the jets...further research in my database shows that teams that allowed 50 or more points combined in their final two regular season games have gone 4-11 ATS in the wildcard round which is a 73% trend.
Thus the trend you first posted has the colts, vikes and the jets as qualifying plays having gone 15-6 ATS in the wildcard round which is a 71.43% trend, however, as I just outlined I found a 73% trend that says to go AGAINST the colts, vikes and the jets.
In the final analysis I still believe the best approach has and will always be to gather ALL available information such as past head to head match up history and team situational analysis to include a review of each teams injury report in order to get a good overview of each teams chances of winning, then and only then can trends or systems be used as extra support in your final decision.
take care and good luck!
Deb
I decided to take a closer look at this trend because as I've already mentioned in my previous posting, my database showed that teams that failed to cover their final two or more regular season games posted a mark of 15-6 ATS from 1984 to 2003 in the wildcard round.
However, a closer look at these four qualifying teams ( the Colts, vikes, jets, and seahawks ) reveals that 3 of these 4 teams allowed 50 or more combined points in their final two regular season games.
The teams that allowed 50 or more combined points in their final two regular season games in this round are the colts, the vikes, and the jets...further research in my database shows that teams that allowed 50 or more points combined in their final two regular season games have gone 4-11 ATS in the wildcard round which is a 73% trend.
Thus the trend you first posted has the colts, vikes and the jets as qualifying plays having gone 15-6 ATS in the wildcard round which is a 71.43% trend, however, as I just outlined I found a 73% trend that says to go AGAINST the colts, vikes and the jets.
In the final analysis I still believe the best approach has and will always be to gather ALL available information such as past head to head match up history and team situational analysis to include a review of each teams injury report in order to get a good overview of each teams chances of winning, then and only then can trends or systems be used as extra support in your final decision.
take care and good luck!
Deb
style="MARGIN: 0px"> </O
DEB: Can you tell me where I can find this type of History Database for all Sports?... Thank you in advance....
georgekos@yahoo.com
georgekos@yahoo.com
